2
Hotskevin
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 68
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Trials · 1f 180y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 31/07/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |