6
Mcgreggor
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 65
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Trials · 1f 180y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Canterbury Park | BHA70 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Canterbury Park | BHA73 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Canterbury Park | BHA69 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 11/07/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |