2

Jessapolliticalcandy

2yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 21

Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Trials · 1f 130y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: BHA24
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA24 @ Canterbury Park 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 24 · 1f80y Fas 124 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 24 par18/0624OR 24C8 @ Canterbury Park 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 23 · 1f110y 124 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 23 par22/07C8OR 23projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Canterbury Park?5th5th0
2026-06-18Canterbury ParkBHA246th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength10%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20266th15/261%38%-0.23
22/07/20265th9/153%20%-0.33