Mo'o Lio
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 43
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-02-16 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Remington Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 27/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 16/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |