6
Honor The Bull
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 51
Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 21/03/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |