5
Now Teddy
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 63
Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 06/01/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |