Double Red
5yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 75
Chepstow · Wasdell Group Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap · 1m 4f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Lingfield | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Nottingham | 2 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 29/08/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 30% | -0.12 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |