2
Solar Edge
4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 77
Chepstow · Dunraven Windows Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap · 5f 16y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bath | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 30/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 08/11/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 03/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |