Talis Evolvere
6yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82
Chepstow · Happy Birthday Colin Spencer Handicap · 1m 14y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Goodwood | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Lingfield | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 03/04/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.40 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |