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3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 55
Chepstow · LSL Racing Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap · 7f 16y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Salisbury | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Kempton | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Leicester | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kempton | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Newbury | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/08/2025 | 3rd | 150/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 19/09/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/04/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |