6
Grand Vista
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 56
Chepstow · LSL Racing Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap · 7f 16y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |