3

Jackabi

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 67

Chepstow · LSL Racing Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap · 7f 16y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

61%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort who opened his account in maiden handicap over C&D in late-June. Has since left Ian Williams and has 2-lb rise/better opposition to contend with on stable debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 10/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f20y Std 13310/0854 @ Leicester 09/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newmarket 25/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0944 @ Wolverhampton 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 70 · 7f36y Std 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Newcastle 05/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 70 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark05/12/2025 · OR 70 par5/125OR 705 @ Newcastle 16/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 70 · 7f14y Std 130 · below its mark16/12/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 69 · 6f213y Gd 131 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 69 par23/055OR 694 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 67 · 7f127y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Chepstow 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 65 · 7f16y GF 135 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 65 par27/066OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Chepstow61st2nd1
2026-06-12Chester45th4th+1
2026-05-23Salisbury512th12th0
2025-12-16Newcastle54th4th0
2025-12-05Newcastle52nd2nd0
2025-11-08Wolverhampton42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/088/1123/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength81%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20256th80/10%17%+0.17
09/09/20255th100/10%60%+0.60
25/09/20257th66/10%0%0.00
08/11/20252nd12/137%75%+0.38
05/12/20252nd10/1195%67%-0.29
16/12/20254th9/488%0%-0.88
23/05/202612th40/10%15%+0.15
12/06/20265th50/10%43%+0.43
27/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13