3
Eightthreeone
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 67
Chepstow · Chepstow Plant International Supports Chepstow Centenary Handicap · 6f 16y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Windsor | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Goodwood | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 4
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 14/05/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 11/06/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |