2
Pull The Rug
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 68
Chepstow · Chepstow Plant International Supports Chepstow Centenary Handicap · 6f 16y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Catterick | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Newcastle | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Leicester | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 06/09/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |