Red Snapper
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 65
Chepstow · Chepstow Plant International Supports Chepstow Centenary Handicap · 6f 16y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Salisbury | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Goodwood | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bath | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 72% | +0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |