Max Capacity
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 86
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-11-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/02/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |