Mo Work
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 88
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 27/06/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/04/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |