7
Red Spitfire
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 77
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |