6

Rocketeer

5yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 83

Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saratoga 17/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 89 · 1m1f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 89 par17/07C5OR 89C5 @ Saratoga 31/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 91 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 89 par1/11C5OR 89C8 @ Gulfstream 21/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 93 parC8 @ Gulfstream 16/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 92 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 92 par16/01C8OR 92C6 @ Gulfstream 14/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 94 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 94 parC8 @ Gulfstream 26/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 91 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 91 par26/03C8OR 91C7 @ Gulfstream 26/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 80 · 7f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 82 par13/07C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Colonial Downs?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-26Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-03-26Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-03-14Gulfstream?5th3rd+2
2026-01-16Gulfstream?1st1st0
2025-12-21Gulfstream?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0721/1226/0313/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20252nd3/184%80%-0.04
31/08/20257th13/266%33%-0.32
01/11/20257th14/126%33%+0.07
21/12/20253rd2/189%60%-0.29
16/01/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
14/03/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
26/03/20267th5/287%0%-0.87
26/04/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
13/07/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06