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8

Springhawk

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 101

Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

83%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength79%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 08/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 86 · 6f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 86 par8/11C5OR 86C5 @ Mahoning Valley 10/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 72 · 6f Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 72 parC6 @ Laurel Park 09/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 75 · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 75 par9/01C6OR 75C5 @ Charles Town 22/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/02/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Charles Town 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 79 · 4f110y Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/03/2026 · OR 79 par7/03C5OR 79C5 @ Charles Town 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Charles Town 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 84 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 84 par25/04C5OR 84C6 @ Charles Town 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 85 · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Charles Town 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 91 · 4f110y Gd 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 91 par28/06C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Charles Town?2nd0th+2
2026-05-17Charles Town?4th2nd+2
2026-04-25Charles Town?1st-2th+3
2026-03-22Charles Town?4th1st+3
2026-03-07Charles Town?2nd-1th+3
2026-02-22Charles Town?1st-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1122/0225/0428/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/202510th20/10%0%0.00
10/12/20252nd5/696%67%-0.29
09/01/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
22/02/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
07/03/20262nd4/696%80%-0.16
22/03/20264th5/493%40%-0.53
25/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
17/05/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
28/06/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83