5

Cakey

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 82

Colonial Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11916/07C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24