6
Kentucky Mule
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 78
Colonial Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-01-02 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |