7

Themis

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 68

Colonial Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 12/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f Gd 12212/03C6C6 @ Aqueduct 23/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 62 · 7f 122 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 62 par23/04C6OR 62C6 @ Laurel Park 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1195/06C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 12/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 59 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 59 par12/07C6OR 59projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-05Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-04-23Aqueduct?6th6th0
2026-03-12Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0323/045/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength75%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/03/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
23/04/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
05/06/20263rd9/488%78%-0.10
12/07/20263rd7/491%75%-0.16