Daddario
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 91
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |