
Eileen's A Warrior
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 82
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-01-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |