Horsing Around
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 87
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |