4
Island Bandit
2yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 73
Colonial Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |