3

Abundant Love
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 82
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 16/05/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 19/06/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 17/08/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 19/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 26/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |