6

Dad's Two Sense

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 71

Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 05/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 1225/03C6C6 @ Keeneland 08/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 62 par8/04C6OR 62C6 @ Churchill Downs 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m4f Fm 118 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 60 par14/06C6OR 60projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Churchill Downs?6th6th0
2026-04-08Keeneland?7th7th0
2026-03-05Gulfstream?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/038/0414/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength32%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/03/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
08/04/20267th7/163%14%-0.49
14/06/20266th12/137%38%+0.01