6

Dad's Two Sense
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 71
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |