2
Lorraine
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 86
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2024 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 06/12/2024 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 04/01/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |