5
Una Quaedam
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 69
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |