4
And Sum
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 97
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |