8
Antrax
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 102
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |