9
Benji Star
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 99
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-17 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2024 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.40 |
| 12/12/2024 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 18/01/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/02/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |