5
It's Our Time
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 101
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
| 2025-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 2/7 | 99% | 63% | -0.36 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 2/9 | 99% | 43% | -0.56 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 38% | -0.53 |