2
The Band Runs On
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 92
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-06-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-06-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2024 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 28/04/2024 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 01/06/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 29/06/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 18/08/2024 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 21/09/2024 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 26/10/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/07/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |