10
More Than Glory
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 72
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |