7

Put A Rock On It

5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 88

Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 02/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 82 par2/11C8OR 82C7 @ Sam Houston Race Park 03/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 121 · beat its mark03/01/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 17/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 82 par17/01C5OR 82C5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 1m1f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/02/2026 · OR 84 parC5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 87 par28/03C5OR 87C5 @ Lone Star 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Laurel Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 89 · 1m1f 126 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 89 par31/05C7OR 89C7 @ Laurel Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 85 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 93 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 93 par18/07C7OR 93projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Colonial Downs?1st1st0
2026-06-20Laurel Park?4th4th0
2026-05-31Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-04-25Lone Star?2nd0th+2
2026-03-28Sam Houston Race Park?2nd0th+2
2026-02-07Sam Houston Race Park?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/117/0231/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength82%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
03/01/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
17/01/20265th5/287%56%-0.31
07/02/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
28/03/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
25/04/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
31/05/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
20/06/20264th9/488%63%-0.26
18/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16