7

Put A Rock On It
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 88
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |