4
Corona Princess
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 67
Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 27/03/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |