2
Hysterics
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 75
Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |