11
Phoebeinwonderland
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81
Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 09/01/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |