8
Princess Summer
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 79
Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 18/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 07/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 70% | -0.16 |
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 04/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |