14
Unlimited Gold
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 70
Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-12-11 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 15/09/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |