1
Kensilver
4yo Colt · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Canapville Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 30/12/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 29/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.10 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 93% | -0.02 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |