11
Miyalaa
5yo Filly · 8-8
Deauville · Prix De Canapville Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.46 |
| 14/09/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 26/10/2025 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |
| 15/03/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 28/05/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 9% | -0.54 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |