2
Mykiss
9yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 105
Deauville · Prix De Canapville Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 31/08/2025 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 30/10/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 23/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |