10

Shaloha

5yo Filly · 8-8

Deauville · Prix De Canapville Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 26/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12926/12C?3 @ Pau 18/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1243 @ Deauville 06/02/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1276/0233 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1304 @ Pornichet 25/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 14025/0343 @ ParisLongchamp 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1283 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1307/0533 @ Saint-Cloud 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1293 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12828/063projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Saint-Cloud311th11th0
2026-05-29Saint-Cloud32nd2nd0
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp33rd3rd0
2026-04-12ParisLongchamp35th5th0
2026-03-25Pornichet47th8th1
2026-03-15Saint-Cloud314th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1215/037/0528/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20254th20/10%77%+0.77
18/01/202610th18/15%25%+0.20
06/02/202614th50/10%7%+0.07
15/03/202614th28/10%7%+0.07
25/03/20267th16/116%50%+0.34
12/04/20265th10/147%69%+0.22
07/05/20263rd22/10%86%+0.86
29/05/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
28/06/202611th10/147%0%-0.47