9
Wematch
7yo Horse · 8-11
Deauville · Prix De Canapville Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-21 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-07-17 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-20 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2024 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 06/02/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 20/02/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 06/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 20/05/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 17/06/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |