9
Chica Suerte
3yo Filly · 8-11
Deauville · Cavalassur - Prix D'isigny Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +4.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Nantes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 11/07/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 09/06/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |