6

El Vegas

3yo Colt · 9-1

Deauville · Cavalassur - Prix D'isigny Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12521/01C5C5 @ Chantilly 31/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1342 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 125 · HIGHER CLASS4/032C5 @ Nantes 31/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 128C5 @ Saint-Cloud 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12310/04C5C0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f155y Sft 131C0 @ Strasbourg 27/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f155y GS 14027/05C?C0 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y GS 131C0 @ Chantilly 07/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1307/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Chantilly?11th11th0
2026-06-09Compiegne?5th5th0
2026-05-27Strasbourg?7th7th0
2026-05-08Strasbourg?2nd2nd0
2026-04-10Saint-Cloud?2nd2nd0
2026-03-31Nantes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0131/0327/057/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
31/01/20265th3/184%67%-0.18
04/03/20266th14/126%17%-0.10
31/03/20264th10/382%67%-0.16
10/04/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
08/05/20262nd15/261%90%+0.29
27/05/20267th7/282%33%-0.48
09/06/20265th33/10%64%+0.64
07/07/202611th25/10%23%+0.23