6

El Vegas
3yo Colt · 9-1
Deauville · Cavalassur - Prix D'isigny Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength21%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |